The impact of modal shift on passenger car CO2 emissions in Tampere region

Riku Viri; Johanna Mäkinen

doi:10.1016/j.cstp.2023.101066

The impact of modal shift on passenger car CO2 emissions in Tampere region

Riku Viri, Johanna Mäkinen

Civil Engineering

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Abstract

Reducing emissions from transport is an important part of climate change mitigation. In Finland, Tampere region has set ambitious modal shift targets to reduce transport emissions. This research analyses how much CO2 emissions from passenger cars would decrease in Tampere region, if the modal split targets would be achieved in 2030. Finnish car fleet model SALAMA is used to model car fleet development and calculate changes in the car fleet CO2 emissions to 2030. In addition, Finnish National Travel Survey data is used to analyse current mobility habits and to calculate, how much could annual passenger car mileage decrease, if the modal split target would be achieved. The results show that even though electrification of car fleet has a major effect on the emissions of the car fleet, drastic emission reduction requires also that the total passenger car mileage starts to decrease.

Original language	English
Article number	101066
Number of pages	11
Journal	Case studies on transport policy
Volume	13
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cstp.2023.101066
Publication status	Published - Sept 2023
Publication type	A1 Journal article-refereed

Keywords

Car fleet model
Scenario model
Sustainable transport
Modal shift
Emissions

Publication forum classification

Publication forum level 1

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

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10.1016/j.cstp.2023.101066Licence: CC BY

1-s2.0-S2213624X23001207-mainFinal published version, 1.04 MBLicence: CC BY

https://urn.fi/URN:NBN:fi:tuni-202308287824Licence: CC BY

Cite this

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title = "The impact of modal shift on passenger car CO2 emissions in Tampere region",

abstract = "Reducing emissions from transport is an important part of climate change mitigation. In Finland, Tampere region has set ambitious modal shift targets to reduce transport emissions. This research analyses how much CO2 emissions from passenger cars would decrease in Tampere region, if the modal split targets would be achieved in 2030. Finnish car fleet model SALAMA is used to model car fleet development and calculate changes in the car fleet CO2 emissions to 2030. In addition, Finnish National Travel Survey data is used to analyse current mobility habits and to calculate, how much could annual passenger car mileage decrease, if the modal split target would be achieved. The results show that even though electrification of car fleet has a major effect on the emissions of the car fleet, drastic emission reduction requires also that the total passenger car mileage starts to decrease.",

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AU - Mäkinen, Johanna

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N2 - Reducing emissions from transport is an important part of climate change mitigation. In Finland, Tampere region has set ambitious modal shift targets to reduce transport emissions. This research analyses how much CO2 emissions from passenger cars would decrease in Tampere region, if the modal split targets would be achieved in 2030. Finnish car fleet model SALAMA is used to model car fleet development and calculate changes in the car fleet CO2 emissions to 2030. In addition, Finnish National Travel Survey data is used to analyse current mobility habits and to calculate, how much could annual passenger car mileage decrease, if the modal split target would be achieved. The results show that even though electrification of car fleet has a major effect on the emissions of the car fleet, drastic emission reduction requires also that the total passenger car mileage starts to decrease.

AB - Reducing emissions from transport is an important part of climate change mitigation. In Finland, Tampere region has set ambitious modal shift targets to reduce transport emissions. This research analyses how much CO2 emissions from passenger cars would decrease in Tampere region, if the modal split targets would be achieved in 2030. Finnish car fleet model SALAMA is used to model car fleet development and calculate changes in the car fleet CO2 emissions to 2030. In addition, Finnish National Travel Survey data is used to analyse current mobility habits and to calculate, how much could annual passenger car mileage decrease, if the modal split target would be achieved. The results show that even though electrification of car fleet has a major effect on the emissions of the car fleet, drastic emission reduction requires also that the total passenger car mileage starts to decrease.

KW - Car fleet model

KW - Scenario model

KW - Sustainable transport

KW - Modal shift

KW - Emissions

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DO - 10.1016/j.cstp.2023.101066

M3 - Article

SN - 2213-624X

VL - 13

JO - Case studies on transport policy

JF - Case studies on transport policy

M1 - 101066

ER -

The impact of modal shift on passenger car CO2 emissions in Tampere region

Abstract

Keywords

Publication forum classification

UN SDGs

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